Deep Dive: The Life-and-Death Test for Crypto VCs — Exit or Breakthrough?

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The world of cryptocurrency venture capital is at a crossroads. While some firms still hold a seat at the table, the path forward is fraught with challenges. As one industry veteran put it: “The day after tomorrow may be bright, but surviving tomorrow—the hardest part—is the real test.”

In a previous article, we explored how prominent fund ABCDE halted fundraising, signaling a broader need for crypto VCs to undergo a “version upgrade” in response to shifting market cycles and evolving monetization models. Now, as the crypto market shows signs of recovery, investment firms are repositioning themselves—some rebalancing portfolios, others chasing new narratives like on-chain trading, stablecoins, and PayFi.

Odaily recently conducted in-depth interviews with leading crypto venture funds, including ArkStream Capital and YBB Capital, to uncover how these institutions are adapting—and what their strategies reveal about the future of crypto investing.


The New Era of Crypto: Liquidity Reigns Supreme

Market Evolution in Focus

To understand where crypto VC is headed, we must first examine how the market has changed—and what remains constant.

ArkStream Capital: Crypto’s Core Is Still Fintech 2.0

Ye Su (@allen_su1024), founder of ArkStream Capital, argues that the true inflection point for the crypto market was 2023. Before this year, the industry was largely focused on building foundational infrastructure—akin to the early days of AI. After 2023, the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs accelerated mainstream adoption, expanding participation beyond crypto-native users to traditional finance players.

Three key shifts define this new era:

Yet, despite these changes, the core thesis remains unchanged: crypto is fundamentally about Fintech 2.0—a decentralized global ledger enabling efficient asset transfer and financial innovation. Even sectors like gaming and social media remain deeply financialized at their core.

👉 Discover how top VCs are navigating this financial evolution in crypto.


YBB Capital: Lower Barriers, Higher Stakes

John (@John_YBB), co-founder of YBB Capital, echoes this sentiment but emphasizes a different catalyst: the democratization of asset issuance.

“This cycle isn’t driven by new narratives—it’s powered by drastically lower barriers to launching tokens. That’s what’s fueling liquidity surges on DEXs and driving demand for derivatives.”

Additional shifts include:


Summary: Cycles Continue, But Greed Is Louder Than Ever

While market cycles persist, the driving force today is less ideology and more profit-seeking behavior. The industry’s inability to produce scalable infrastructure applications has left it reliant on internal “casino effects” and external liquidity injections from mainstream finance.

This reality has forced VCs to rethink their business models.


The VC Pivot: From Passive Investing to Active Participation

Bill Qian on Vintage Risk and Future Hope

Bill Qian (@billqian_uae), co-founder of Cypher, M2, and Phoenix Funds, reflects on the painful lessons of recent years:

“We backed over 10 VC funds with top-tier GPs. But due to poor timing—investing in 2022/2023—we’ve had to write down 60% of our LP investments. Sometimes you do everything right and still lose—to time.”

Despite this, he remains optimistic about the next cycle: “After destruction comes rebirth. Just like Web2 VCs rose from the dot-com ashes.”


YBB Capital: From Skepticism to Strategic Embrace

YBB Capital once avoided meme coins due to ethical concerns. But as the ecosystem matured—with structured launch teams, marketing funnels, and community coordination—they adapted.

“We didn’t invest in meme coins directly, but we backed Meme Launchpads like Pump.Fun because they enable sustainable engagement.”

Today, YBB focuses on high-liquidity narratives:

They believe long-term value lies not in pump-and-dump schemes but in projects that grow user bases sustainably.

👉 See how leading investors identify sustainable crypto opportunities.


ArkStream: From Tier-1 to 1.5-Tier Investing

ArkStream has shifted from traditional early-stage investing to what they call “1.5-tier” OTC deals—investing in post-launch projects with clearer liquidity paths.

Why? Because:

Now, ArkStream actively explores two parallel tracks:

“We’re looking for deep collaboration with innovators in both spaces.”

Summary: On-Chain Is the New Gold Rush

VC consensus is clear: the next wave of value will come from on-chain activity, amplified by macro trends like AI and regulatory clarity—especially under U.S. policy shifts.


The Trump Effect: A Catalyst for Crypto Maturation?

Waterdrip Capital: Welcome to the ‘Chaos Era’

Dasha Shan, founder of Waterdrip Capital, describes the post-Trump-election landscape as a “chaos era”—a period of global instability that paradoxically strengthens crypto’s role.

Key insights:

For founders, new opportunities emerge in:


YBB Capital: Trump Created a Liquidity Black Hole

John argues that Trump’s real impact isn’t policy—it’s attention engineering.

“Trump used TRUMP memecoins to convert political attention into financial liquidity—a ‘narrative black hole’ sucking in capital.”

He also notes:


ArkStream: Bitcoin vs. Gold – The Next Decade’s Battle

Ye Su believes the critical question is whether Bitcoin can become a global safe-haven asset, rivaling gold.

“If U.S. sovereign funds adopt BTC, it could grow 8–10x from current levels.”

But without institutional backing, its ceiling remains low.


Summary: Crypto Is No Longer Isolated

Trump’s unpredictable policies have made crypto more volatile—but also more relevant. The era of crypto as a niche asset is over. It’s now intertwined with geopolitics, macroeconomics, and mainstream finance.


Final Thought: No Misallocated Assets—Only Misaligned Projects

Is there mispricing in crypto?

At a micro level—yes. Many projects suffer from:

But at a macro level? Capital flows efficiently. Liquidity follows where wealth is created.

As Ye Su puts it:

“Retail users—the silent majority—decide market direction. Projects must adapt to demand.”

There are no inherently “wrong” assets—only those mismatched to their time.

Crypto never sleeps. And liquidity—like water—always finds its level.

👉 Stay ahead of the next big shift in crypto liquidity.


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Why are crypto VCs shifting from early-stage to 1.5-tier investments?
A: Extended lock-up periods and reduced exit opportunities have made traditional VC models less viable. OTC deals offer faster liquidity and lower risk.

Q: Are meme coins a legitimate investment focus for serious VCs?
A: Direct investment in meme coins is rare due to high risk. However, many VCs back enabling tools like launchpads and analytics platforms that benefit from meme cycles sustainably.

Q: How has the Bitcoin ETF changed crypto investing?
A: It institutionalized Bitcoin, aligning it with traditional finance regulations and tax frameworks. This boosted liquidity but also diluted its decentralization ethos.

Q: What does “PayFi” mean in crypto context?
A: PayFi refers to blockchain-based payment systems that integrate with traditional finance—enabling faster settlements, lower fees, and cross-border transactions.

Q: Can Bitcoin really compete with gold as a reserve asset?
A: It’s possible—if adopted by sovereign wealth funds or central banks. Currently, Bitcoin’s market cap is far below gold’s, leaving room for growth if trust and stability increase.

Q: How do RWA (Real World Assets) projects create value?
A: By tokenizing physical assets like real estate or bonds, RWAs bring transparency, fractional ownership, and global liquidity to traditionally illiquid markets.