As the crypto landscape evolves, Ethereum Classic (ETC) has found itself at the center of a growing debate: can it sustain the influx of miners leaving Ethereum’s Proof-of-Work (PoW) chain after the Merge? With prominent voices like Vitalik Buterin and Barry Silbert encouraging miners to transition to ETC, the network is experiencing a surge in interest—and hash rate.
But is this momentum sustainable, or just a short-lived spike driven by miner desperation?
A Surge in Hash Rate and Miner Interest
On August 6, Barry Silbert, founder and CEO of Digital Currency Group (DCG), tweeted:
“We fully support ETH PoS. Other than ETC, we do not plan to support any ETH PoW fork. ETH miners should move their hash power to ETC to maximize long-term revenue.”
This statement reinforced earlier suggestions from Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin, who also pointed miners toward ETC as a viable alternative post-Merge.
The impact has been immediate. According to data from 2miners, ETC’s network hash rate has climbed over 50% since July, rising from around 20 TH/s to a peak of 31.94 TH/s. At the time of writing, it stabilizes at approximately 30.06 TH/s, signaling growing miner participation.
The primary mining pools supporting ETC include:
- ethermine.org
- 2miners.com
- hiveon.net
- f2pool.com
- poolin.com
These platforms are now seeing increased activity as miners explore alternatives to GPU-based Ethereum mining, which will soon become obsolete post-consensus transition.
👉 Discover how mining dynamics are shifting in the post-PoS era
Short-Term Gains vs. Long-Term Viability
In the short term, ETC has already seen price volatility linked to speculation around miner migration. However, many analysts remain skeptical about its long-term potential.
Messari analysts argue that while ETC may experience a pre-Merge price spike, it lacks the fundamentals for sustained growth. Key concerns include:
- Low network usage: ETC’s active address count is less than half that of Cardano.
- Stagnant development: The network's development activity is less than 10% of Ethereum or Cardano.
- Flat transaction volume: Since 2018, transaction levels have shown no meaningful growth.
- Minimal economic activity: There are virtually no decentralized applications (dApps) or DeFi protocols driving real utility.
“Price should have some basic link to network usage and economic activity. Unfortunately, for ETC holders, neither exists,” says Messari.
The Mining Economics Challenge
One of the biggest hurdles for ETC is profitability.
Currently:
- Ethereum accounts for 97% of GPU mining revenue, generating around $24 million daily.
- Ethereum Classic contributes just 2%, with daily rewards totaling roughly $700,000.
This massive disparity creates a critical problem: if even a "meaningful portion" of Ethereum miners shift to ETC, the sudden increase in hash rate will dramatically raise mining difficulty. As a result, most small and mid-sized miners could be priced out of profitability—unless ETC’s market price rises significantly to compensate.
As Messari analyst Dunleavy noted:
“ETC has seen no meaningful change in on-chain volume or users over the years. Application ecosystems don’t exist. Developer activity remains stagnant.”
Without strong fundamentals, the network risks becoming a victim of its own temporary success—a classic case of hash rate inflation without value backing.
Can ETC Compete Without an Active Ecosystem?
While hash rate is a measure of security and miner interest, it doesn’t equate to real-world adoption. Ethereum thrived because of its robust developer community, dApp ecosystem, NFT markets, and DeFi protocols—all of which are largely absent on ETC.
Crypto influencer 0xAA argues:
“ETC cannot absorb ETH miners’ hash power sustainably. The best outcome for miners would be a hard fork creating a new ETH-PoW chain. That chain would inherit Ethereum’s rich ecosystem—something ETC simply doesn’t have.”
After all, Ethereum today hosts thousands of projects and hundreds of billions in value locked (TVL). When ETC originally forked in 2016, Ethereum’s ecosystem was in its infancy. Now, replicating that growth on an outdated chain with minimal upgrades seems improbable.
👉 Explore how blockchain networks evolve with shifting miner behavior
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
1. Why are miners considering Ethereum Classic after the Merge?
After Ethereum transitions to Proof-of-Stake (PoS), GPU mining will no longer be possible. Miners are seeking alternative PoW chains where they can continue using their existing hardware. Ethereum Classic is one of the few major PoW blockchains still compatible with GPU mining.
2. Is Ethereum Classic a good long-term investment?
Based on current fundamentals—low user activity, minimal dApp development, and stagnant transaction volume—ETC lacks strong long-term investment appeal. Short-term price movements may be driven by miner speculation, but sustained growth requires real adoption.
3. Could ETC’s price rise if miners migrate en masse?
Possibly in the short term. However, increased mining difficulty would reduce individual profitability unless the token price rises significantly. Without organic demand or utility, such a price increase may not be sustainable.
4. What happens if too many miners join ETC?
A sudden hash rate spike would make mining extremely competitive. Smaller operations may become unprofitable due to higher difficulty and electricity costs, leading to centralization or miner exodus.
5. Are there better alternatives than ETC for ex-Ethereum miners?
Some suggest a new ETH-PoW fork would be more viable, as it could carry forward Ethereum’s ecosystem. Others point to emerging PoW chains or privacy coins, though none currently match Ethereum’s scale.
6. Does ETC have any active development roadmap?
While there are occasional protocol upgrades, development activity remains limited compared to leading smart contract platforms. Community-driven efforts exist, but they lack the funding and coordination seen in larger ecosystems.
👉 Stay ahead of blockchain transitions with real-time market insights
Final Thoughts: Momentum vs. Fundamentals
Ethereum Classic is undoubtedly benefiting from the attention surrounding Ethereum’s consensus shift. The recent hash rate surge reflects real miner movement—but momentum alone isn’t enough.
For ETC to truly “handle” the influx, it needs more than just computational power. It needs:
- A thriving developer community
- Active decentralized applications
- Growing user adoption
- Real economic utility
Without these elements, ETC risks becoming a temporary refuge rather than a sustainable destination for miners.
The crypto world watches closely: Can a legacy chain rise from the ashes of its more successful sibling? Or will it fade as miners move on in search of better returns?
Only time—and on-chain activity—will tell.
Core Keywords:
Ethereum Classic, ETC mining, Proof-of-Work, ETH Merge, GPU mining, hash rate, miner migration, blockchain transition